Manchester United have gotten off to one of their worst starts to a top flight season in almost 30 years. But is the situation as bad as it looks?

Manchester United’s 12 match unbeaten streak in all competitions was broken when they lost to Everton at home in the mid-week fixture. The pre-match focus was heavily on manager David Moyes who was facing his old club for the first time after moving from Goodison Park to Old Trafford over the summer.

To his credit, Moyes hardly put a foot wrong. He started with an aggressive formation and early in the second half, made bold attacking substitutions that allowed Manchester United to pile the pressure on the visitors’ goal.

If at all Moyes could be faulted, it would be for starting Welbeck instead of Nani or Januzaj on the left. Welbeck has a fantastic work rateAi?? but he is not defensively sound and tends to switch off. Coupled with Evra, who also tends to expose the defense especially when playing further up the pitch,Ai??it meantAi??that United were under constant pressure on their left flank.

The biggestAi??worry of the night had to be the wastefulness in front of goal. Wayne Rooney sent a shot wide and let a Kagawa cross go through his legs. Evra headed straight at the goalkeeper and the rebound was hammered into the cross bar by Danny Welbeck.

Nani, who was hitherto busy twisting and turning in the boxAi??threatening toAi??take a shot on goal, disappointedAi??when a volley landed in front of him asAi??he only managed toAi??send it into orbit. Everton on the other hand, benefitted from a Lukaku mishit when Oviedo converted it into a cross and hit the back of the net from an acute angle.

This is the third time this season Manchester United have dropped points conceding a goal late in the game. After 14 matches, they find themselves down in 9th place in the League Table trailing leaders Arsenal by 12 points. They had 11 more points after 14 matches last season as compared to this one.

Administerial woes

The media has latched on to predictablyAi??slamming Moyes after every dropped point. Considering that this is practically the same squad (minus Scholes and theAi??additions of Fellaini and Januzaj) that won the league last year by a margin of 11 points, there is obviously some gap in terms of the management.

It is important to understand that the departure of Sir Alex Ferguson and David Gill and their replacement by David Moyes and Ed Woodward respectively has made Manchester United a less lucrative transfer destination. It is uncertain how much blame the Glazers must share but Manchester United did go in for pennyAi??pinching when bidding for Cesc Fabregas.

The management also apparently messed up the Ander Herrera transfer although CEO Ed Woodward issued a public statement distancing the club from the transfer deadline fiasco that unfolded at Athletico.Ai??At the same time, rivals have strengthened their squads. Most notable was the arrival of German midfield maestro Mesut OzilAi??at Arsenal. This has meant that although the United squad remained the same in absolute terms, in relative terms the quality has declined.

Performance drop

To add to the woes of the Old Trafford outfit, their performance on the field in the first 14 matches this season compares terriblyAi??with the same time frame last year.

EPL Performance after 14 matches

EPL Performance after 14 matches

What is clear from this graphic is the significant drop in number of goals scored and the number of total chances created. While conceding the same number of goals (18), United have scored 11 fewer goals and created 50 fewer chances. This puts their goals scored to goals conceded ratio at 1.22 compared to 1.83 last season.

Conversion rate has also gone down from 5.5 chances per goal to almost 6 chances per goal. Shot accuracy itself has remained the same as well as possession and pass accuracy. United have however had to perform more defensive actions that points towards a frailty in midfield and an inability to hold the ball there.

United’s biggest struggle this season has beenAi??settling on a starting 11 especially the back four. Most of Sir Alex Feguson’s trophy winning seasons were built on the solid base of a dependable back four. This season, however, Vidic, Ferdinand, Jones, Evans, Smalling, Evra, Buttner, Rafael and Valencia have all played in the back four at some point of time this season. David de Gea has been stellar in goal so far but he needs to establish confidence and aAi??connection with his back four.

The midfield supplies are threadbare with Scholes retired, Giggs aging and Powell out on loan. The over dependance on Carrick has been exposed with the midfielder’s injury. Cleverley has probably not developed as much as United would have hoped for and Welbeck,Ai??while a busy player, has been awful in finishing in front of goal, unlike his exploits for England.

Individual player performances

Apart from the team as a whole, individual player performances have impacted United this season. Rooney is rejuvenated and carrying the team almost single handedly. Most fans who bayed for his head when he allegedly handed in a transfer request earlierAi??this summer have forgiven him.

He has scored 8 of the 22 goals this season and was pivotal in United defeating league leaders Arsenal at Old Trafford. He doesn’t like losing the ball and partakes in defensive duties as well.

Where United have missed out majorly is the performance of talisman Robin van Persie.Ai??The strikerAi??arrived at United last year in a shock transfer from Arsenal as Sir Alex Ferguson completed one of the biggest transfers of his career in what was to be his last season as manager of the club.

The former GunnerAi??was instantly successful continuing his purple patch with Arsenal from the previous season, as heAi??scored 26 Premier League goals last season and was instrumental in United securing their 20th top flight title. This year, he has gotten off to a slower start.

Robin van Persie after 14 matches

Robin van Persie after 14 matches

The Dutch International has faced injuries, this season,Ai??that have caused him to miss crucialAi??games. He has already missed 4 games this season in the EPLAi??-Ai??especially troubling, consideringAi??he played all games last season at the same point.

While he has scored only 2 goals fewer (which he would have made up for had he played all 14 matches), the most significant drop in performance has definitely been in chances created. RvP has created only 6 chances this season hitherto compared to 29 at the same time last season. Another significant drop is in average duels won where he fell from 64% to 38%. Shot accuracy has also gone down by 10%. This means that United’s most potent weapon has misfired significantly this season allowing opponents to gain the upper hand.

Confidence and fear

A “softer”Ai??cause may be associated with the aura of Manchester United. The Old Trafford outfit has dominated the PL era winning 13 of the pastAi??20 seasons. There was a fear associated with facing United that teams felt especially on their way to the dreaded fortress that was Old Trafford. United were considered invincible here and lesser teams were probably mentally prepared for the inevitable defeat at Ferguson’s hallowed grounds.

Today, Old TraffordAi??has become a veritable fairground with teams arriving in good spirits and leaving with points in towAi??and even higher spirits. A major factor in this is the absence of Sir Alex Ferguson from the touchline. The image of a grey haired man shouting and waving angrily at the fourth official was indelibly seared into the minds of supporters and opponents alike. Moyes, who has done admirably well in the last 11 years at Everton, is yet to establish that aura at OT.

Until Moyes commands the same confidence from his team and fear from opponents, Manchester United will be seen as just another opposition that can be defeated. It is understandable if he needs time to get his bearings rightAi??and come to grips with the gargantuan task that is managing Manchester United but he must not forget that he is managing one of the top clubs in the world where heAi??was expected to hit the ground running from Day 1. United’s management was patient with Sir Alex Ferguson when he got off to a slow start in 1986.

In today’s world of instant gratification and the high economic impact of trophies, the Glazers may not accord Moyes the same luxury. The season is less than half done and historically Christmas has been a good time for Manchester United. This season they have already played City, Chelsea, Arsenal, Liverpool, Spurs and Everton. The forthcoming fixtures are relatively easier and they can be expected to pick up full points in these. For that to happen however, a few immediate changes are necessary. Robin van PersieAi??and Carrick need to return to full fitness and reclaim theirAi??starting positions as soon as possible. And Moyes needs to get his act together; he couldAi??start with deciding on hisAi??best 11.

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