Why Defending Champions Spain Will Not Win Euro 2012

Charlize Theron’s humorless Meredith Vickers has precious few scenes to shine in Prometheus. In one of them she gets to hiss “A king has his reign, and then he dies. It’s inevitable”. It’s a pivotal scene in the movie, and one that hammers home just how transient and fleeting sitting pretty at the top really is.

Spain, current defending champions of the Euro by virtue of having won it in 2008 and also FIFA World Cup winners in 2010, might want to draw consolation from that. Or spiral further into depression. Either way, it’s almost perceivable that Spain’s time at the top of the summit is drawing to a close. It’s one of those things you can feel is in the air. And not in the grass, as Spain suggests.

Spain

Club differences aside

Spain

A lot of it has to do with the end of the aura that surrounded Spanish football. Engineered in the dens of the Camp Nou and the Santiago Bernabeu, their splendidly aesthetic style of playing football saw them vault past the more established names in Europe and South America as they rewrote the coaching manuals of the game.

With the triumphs came the aura, as is natural but Spain’s was more enduring than other champions at the turn of the millennium. The Spanish had not only prised the world’s silverware, but had also given the world a lesson in football with their stratospheric possession percentages and fleet footedness.

But then Guus Hiddink and Jose Mourinho came along and figured that defending like cowards, might not be a bad thing as long as you did it with gusto and with a plan. As Chelsea did in 2009, and Inter Milan did a year later to those great exponents of Spanish footballing prowess FC Barcelona, teams have figured and will continue to figure out ways to beat the Spaniards. Like so many others before them, the Spanish have contributed to their own downfall.

Spain’s insistence on playing their quick short-passing tiki taka style, meant the tall, physically imposing footballer was surplus to their requirements. Like the Neanderthal made way for the smaller, more adept homo sapien, the big bulky footballer made way for the artists. Unfortunately, Spain convinced of the permanence of their style never predicted that the pendulum might swing back to the more physical style favored in continental Europe. It did, and the Spanish were caught with their pants down. Their ranks were decimated as far as physicality was concerned. Their approach to the game meant their strikers didn’t need to be like Drogba, or Andy Carroll. A midfielder could step up and do the job, thank you very much.

Spain

Looking haggard

Spain

Del Bosque is the prime architect and maintainer of the bridge that connects the Catalans of Barcelona and the Castillians of Real Madrid into a single Spanish outfit, after the two constituent sides have spent the better part of the past season(s) fighting each other. And it’s clear that even he’s bought so completely into the philosophy that he rolled out a team comprising 4 defenders, and 6 midfielders against Italy, a culture that taught the rest of the world how to defend like your lives depended on it.

To blame Spain’s draw and surprisingly ordinary performance against Italy entirely on Del Bosque’s strategy is harsh on the man. A couple of years ago, a similar Spanish line-up would’ve torn Italy to shreds. That is as much a statement about how well the Spaniards were playing then, as it is a reminder to how awful the Italians were back then. But that’s digressing.

Barcelona’s and Madrid’s inability to win the Champions League this season, when they were both by far the most powerful sides in the tournament, has taken off the aura, that sheen and that inevitable feeling about a Spanish side’s eventual victory.

That aura had more often than not helped cow the opposition down into submission even before the first whistle has been blown. Teams were certain even before they took to the field, that they would see little of the ball. Making them either all the more desperate to lunge at scraps or merely grateful they only conceded a couple of goals by the time the 90 minutes were up. By the end of the ordeal, that famed death by a thousand cuts at the hands of the Iberians, teams were just glad to go back to their hotels.

Taking into account that Hiddink and Mourinho had impressive squads to put out, Chelsea’s recent triumph must surely then have been the death knell for tiki taka. The Blues held Barcelona off, admittedly with some measure of luck this season, with an aging side and one that was deservedly languishing at 6th spot in the Premier League. The Spaniards – Barcelona especially – have always insisted that their style was characteristic of their clubs and independent of the player.

Spain

Spain

Stepping up

Spain

Which makes it all the more ironic then that there is an antidote for the tiki taka, and it too is not dependent on the player. A decent side with the commitment to stay the course, and the patience to let the Spaniards hold the chunk of possession, does have a shot at beating the greatest club(s) in the world, and by extension the national team of Spain.

The Spaniards also have the headache of having to make do without a Messi, who makes Barcelona seem all the more potent. Instead they have a David Villa who’s gone MIA, and a Fernando Torres who’s now managed to let just about everyone down. So a toothless Spanish side up front, should make parking the bus a whole lot easier then.

Except the notoriously defensive Italians didn’t exactly park the bus in their game. This wasn’t an exposition of the famed catenaccio that stopped Spain dead in their tracks. This was something else. Italy took the game to Spain in midfield, holding possession and their own against the likes of Xavi, Iniesta and Fabregas. For considerable portions of the game, Italy looked the more confident side.

And that’s what should worry Spain the most. Not the possibility that teams know how to park the bus when it matters, and not the fact their forwards lack the incisive quality Messi brings Barcelona. It’s that dawning realization, that suddenly nobody is afraid of them anymore.

  • Aditya Sharma

    Okay, while also feel that Spain won’t win the Euros this year, I don’t think it’s just because people have figured out an antidote to tiki-taka. I think most teams knew for a long time that if you let Barca/ Spain hold possession and just sit deep and defend, you had a chance of sneaking win, and refuse to believe that this *revelation* is the reason why Barca & Spain aren’t winning as many matches as before.

    Here’s my hypothesis: two years ago, Spain had players like Torres and Villa who were (a) in great striking form,scoring for fun on a regular basis, and (b) capable of playing ‘the spanish way’, by contributing in the tiki-taka rather than just standing in the box and waiting for the ball. Today, due to both of these strikers being absent (through injury or impotence), suddenly there’s no one in the team you can rely on to make something of the chances that the rest of the team creates. Say what you like about the world-class midfielders these teams have, none of them can finish as accurately or regularly as an out-and-out striker.

    So that’s my two cents: Barca and Spain are both missing a solid striker who can both score and do tiki-taka.

  • Rohit

    Spain are still the best team in the world, period. just knowing a path exist doesn’t mean anyone can now walk the path. just knowing a way to play with spain doesn’t mean you can beat some of the best players of the generation playing together.

    recall the wc where they had to struggle for goals in every single match but still won it with ease, if u know what i mean. that too with their top striker out of form throughout the tournament. that shows the quality this team posses.

    Yes one day this team will cease to be champs but it is a long way from today.

    P.S.:- I think quality of articles in THT is going down. people have started writing anything without proper analyses. try to remain emotionally detached when doing research for our articles, who knows u coud be decent writer someday.

    • Umair

      Lol lol look who’s getting emotional now!

      Spain has been found out. End of.

  • k10

    I agree with Aditya here. I’m a Spain supporter from the past 14 odd years and believe Spain still have one of the best squad int he tournament, however I also believe they won’t win the Euros but this is not because as Aditya mentioned teams found anti-dote of “tiki-taka”.
    First of all Spain > Barcelona. Spanish teams has only 5 Barcelona player so each and everything which Barcelona is good/bad at can’t be directly compared with Spain. Spain earlier used to have very good teams but what they didn’t have was a proper playing style. They didn’t know how to express themselves and were often down with inferiority complex. Spain arrived at Euro ’08 without any confidence with Barcelona losing out to Man Utd in semis of UCL, Rijakard leaving them, Real Madrid unable to reach the quarters and Xavi famously seeking a way out. This is where LA imposed a new style which was humorely named as “tiki-take” by media. The possession based game became the playing style of Spain. They got success with this mantra and stick to it because the other styles had never gave them any success at International level so it was foolish to think of leaving this brand of Football. Then after the success of World Cup possession based game became the synonym of Spain’s play.
    However even in all these times, Spain never stuck to Plan A only, which is where they are so different from Barcelona. While Barcelona do not have any Plan B, Spain always had different plans to counter different teams.

    Why Spain won’t win the Euros? Well I’ve my own theory:

    1. An injury to D Villa and Puyol came at a really wrong time. While D Villa is not only a great striker, he’s the experience to unlock the defenses with his ability to change his game according to the need. He could play as lone striker, at flanks, could take long range shots. Puyol is the best Spanish defender since a long long time and without him they are suspectable to the high balls. Lack of these two players will surely hurt them

    2. Almost all the Spanish players over the years have won a lot of trophies at Domestic and International level. It reduces the appetite of the players to go for one extra yards which they did in the last Euro/WC. Since they are the Defending Champions, sometimes players do take things for granted.

    3. Teams are no longer afraid of playing them. While in the last World Cup, we’ve seen teams refused to play against them(bar Chile) and simply tried to shut the shop. This time Italy have shown that the teams are ready to attack them. Spain for all their good showing are vulnerable to the teams who try to attack them.

  • Abhik Mallik

    I’ve a feeling that Spain would stick to 4-6-0 formation for 70-75 minutes of the game and then switch to a traditional 4-3-3 with introduction of a striker.
    My reasoning is, playing passing game with 6 midfielders would worn out the opposition more quickly. Once Spain senses the fatigue of opposition, they will bring on a srtiker to have a more direct approach.

  • http://thehardtackle.com Matthew Talarico

    I agree with this piece of writing to a rather large extent. Note, I am an Italian but Spain is my second favourite team, due to the very clear similarities of tenses and words in the respective languages (I speak both). What I feel about the whole situation is an issue of balance. Undoubtedly Spain have the best midfield in the world. There is no doubt about that. Their midfield is versatile, quick and resourceful, able to launch a long through ball or using the trademark tiki-taka to undress a defender. Iniesta himself is another conjuring of a superstar not only capable of just quick and accurate passes but also fast cuts, beating defenders and maintaing stellar ball control. But here is where the balance factor comes into play. THEIR MIDFIELD IS THERE SINGLE STRONGEST COMPONENT. Everyone else on the team is rather lackluster in comparison to their midfield. They have no in and out striker with Torres being severely out of form, Soldado not even proven at International level, Llorente the same and Negredo is yet to be decided. The importance of a player that can take that fluent direct pass from a midfielder and finish a chance is crucial to winning silverware. Barcelona’s Post Guardiola dominance proved this with Messi. Then you look at their defence, and while Pique and Ramos are definitely class, the lack of Puyol forces Ramos into an uncomfortable CB position whereas Pique has been less than Stellar all season for Barca and has battled injuries as well. If any team (Domestically) were to adopt a similar playstyle like Barcelona/Spain and had a quality striker, similar silverware would come. The two closest teams I see for this are Munich and Juventus. Both play very possession based, and as highlighted by the fact Barca, Juventus and Munich had the top 3 most possession percentage in Europe all season. Juventus would need to sign a World Class Striker, Creative Winger, and one more Midfielder. What would sufffice? Cavani/Van Persie as the striker. Nani is almost out of contract at ManU and is up for a move from Old Trafford and Juventus can afford him. Verratti the 19 year old Pescara Wonderkid would practically be another Xavi/Pirlo coming from Juventus. With a mid like Pirlo, Vidal, Marchisio, Isla, Asamoah (Both have signed for Juventus) and Verratti, similar Tiki-taka play would follow. The back 4 is completely fine. Now I know I stemmed completely off topic but let me continue.

    Relating to the balance issue I brought up, the pinnacle of balance in this tournament is Germany without a doubt. With a Mario Gomez, Podolski etc. Up front, Ozil, Schwein, Gotze, Reus, Kroos in Mid, Hummels, Badstuber, Boateng and Lahm at the back and Neuer as keeper their’s no wonder why they are one of the heavy favourites. They also have the youngest team in the tournament. Second in terms of balance would be Italy (No bias). Balotelli, Cassano, Di Natale up Front, Giovinco, Pirlo, Marchisio in Mid, and Chiellini, Barzagli, Ogbonna, Abate, Balzaretti in the back with the ever so wondeful Buffon and you have another form of balance.

    That is where I believe Spain are lacking. Italy’s first game proved that teams aren’t afraid to attack Spain as long as said team has the midfield holding power (Pirlo and Marchisio feeding the ball while De Rossi holds it for Italy). Great article though.

  • Chekwas36

    all d same,spain will still prove themself bt one thing u have 2 understand is dat most of d players have lost appetite havin won evrytin both at club n international levels.nice article